The financial performance of six companies (Amyris;
Bioamber; Gevo; Kior; Metabolix; and Solazyme) that focus on developing
chemical products and fuels from renewable raw materials were analyzed using their
annual reports. Here are some
conclusions:
Over the last three years (2011 to 2013), only Solazyme has
consistently been able to price their products high enough to cover the cost of
products sold. The other five companies
more often than not had negative gross profits (cost of sales exceeded revenues
from the products sold). This suggests
an inability of these five companies to compete in the market with low-enough
pricing, but at prices high enough to cover the costs of the products sold.
The total research and development (R&D) expenses
($679,024,935) reported by the six companies over the last three years are
twice the total revenues reported by these companies ($339,280,858). In addition, the capital expenses (e.g.,
expenses for equipment and construction) of $512,916,197 are one and a half
times the revenues.
These large R&D and capital expenses, compared to
revenues, account for a significant part of the total net losses
($1,726,733,148) reported by the companies over the last three years. These high R&D and capital expenses will
more likely than not result in some success at generating new, useful, and
profitable products. However,
unfortunately, some of these companies will likely not survive, and a
difficulty is in predicting which products and companies will. The six companies’ financial results over the
last three years do not give much help with this difficulty. . For example, although Solazyme and Bioamber
revenues have had compound annual growth rates of 41% and 68%, respectively,
from 2011 to 2013, both companies have also had huge net losses for each year.
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